What We Learned: Week 16
Check back here every week to listen to Tim: analyze what we saw, discuss who's trending up or down, and jump to some wild conclusions.
First of all, I'd like to thank the guys over at FantasyFootballDome for setting up this awesome league. I'm excited to be a part of it and can't wait to get started.
Before the analysis, I just want to disclose this is a SUPERFLEX league, which means you have a flex spot where you're allowed to slot in a second QB. Needless to say this makes QB's much more valuable and therefore drastically alters the draft strategy.
Just to be clear, in a standard draft I officially DO NOT recommend taking a QB in the first round. That may be my suggestion, but you are a beautiful king/queen who is allowed to do whatever they want. So, that's on you. Now, let's get started.
First round (fourth overall): Josh Allen
TimsFantasyTips selects: Josh Allen, QB, Buffalo Bills. Normally I go RB1 in round one no matter what. My logic this time: It’ll be another 16 picks before I pick again. Mahomes is already off the board, so if I don’t grab an elite QB now there will be none left by the time I pick again. And if that’s the case, there should be at least one RB with top-five potential.
2nd round: Austin Ekeler
Thankfully, the idea worked and I landed Austin Ekeler, who is the last of the PPR RB1s (in my opinion). He is my bottom cutoff for RB1. After him, it is a handful of RB2s with RB1 potential, but nothing I'd bet the bank on.
3rd round: JK Dobbins
It's round three of a 12-team draft, it’s going to be another 16 picks before I go again. I was hoping to land Davante Adams, Tyreek Hill, or Stefon Diggs here, but unfortunately they were selected just before. So, now 13 RBs have been drafted, and only three WRs. I could go with D-Hop or Calvin Ridley here, but (applying the same strategy as the first round) I have to go RB otherwise there won’t be any reliable ones left. The way I see it, I should still be able to land a decent WR1 next round.
So J.K. Dobbins it is for me. I gotta say, I love him this year. If he is awarded a 3-down role on the best rushing team in football, the dude could be a monster to say the least.
4th round: Terry McLaurin
I had imagined landing Keenan Allen here, but I will absolutely take Terry McLaurin as WR1. I love Terry because he can do it all. Not only is he a deep threat with wheels to spare, he's shown he is capable of being an every down possession receiver as well. The only thing he was missing during the first two years of his career was an established QB.
I would not be surprised in the slightest if Terry catches 100 passes this season with Fitzpatrick under center.
5th round: Mike Evans
I managed to secure Mike Evans as my WR2. Nothing to see here just a man who has finished with 1,000 yards every season he’s been in the league. Only the current number one target of the best QB all the time, coming off a career-high 13 receiving TDs. Fifth round? I’ll take it.
6th round: Julio Jones
I had planned on grabbing Myles Gaskin, Kareem Hunt, or Etienne with this pick but all were selected by the time it got back to me. With no RB’s I liked at this price, and Julio somehow still available, I couldn’t hesitate. Hopefully I don’t have to explain why I like Julio Jones. I just so happen to think he's pretty good at football.
Derrick Henry being his teammate means opponents will have no choice but to stack the box, which means teams will have no choice but to leave Julio (or AJB) one-on-one. For as long as he's been around, that has never been a good idea.
7th round: Tua Tagovailoa
My superflex pick. QB’s were wearing thin, there were only two options left I was excited about. Tua and Ryan Fitzpatrick. I chose to take a chance on Tua because not only is he very underrated as a mobile QB, he also has an absolute STABLE of weapons; maybe the best arsenal in the league.
EX: Will Fuller, Devante Parker, Myles Gaskin, Mike Gesicki, first-round pick (and former Alabama teammate) Jaylen Waddle.. If he takes even one step forward this season, I like my chances for some big numbers out of Tuaman.
8th round: Michael Thomas
I was aiming for Melvin Gordon and almost had him too, but those meddling kids snagged him the exact pick before mine *sheds tear*. At this point, it’s pick 93. If I can survive to week eight, why not grab Michael Thomas for a playoff push? As my WR4 no less. I really can't go wrong with a former WR1 overall at this price.
9th round: Ronald Jones
On the turn around, knew I needed a capable RB3 with RB2 potential before it was too late. Ronald Jones was the closest thing to that I could manage. There's no doubt in my mind Jones is good for a few big games handling the majority of the touches this season. The same could be said for Uncle Lenny, I just think Jones eats first.
10th Round: Will Fuller
This far in the draft, WR isn't exactly a position of need for me, but in my opinion Will Fuller is by far the best player still available. I mean, I get why he’s here. He's never finished a full season. He’s on a new team with an unproven QB. He's going to miss week one due to a lingering suspension. But at this point, as my WR 4-5 I’m not really risking anything, for a potential huge return. Let’s not forget, the man puts up numbers.
Last season, he was averaging 17.09 PPG, and was on a six-game TD streak at one point. That is WR1 behavior ladies and gentlemen. Had he played a full 16 games at that pace, he would have finished last season as WR6, just above DK Metcalf.
11th round: Nyheim Hines
I feel like the fact Hines finished as RB15 in PPR last season went over a lot of peoples heads. I know Marlon Mack is back, and it’s supposed to be the Jonathan Taylor show this season. However, Hines is the most reliable pass catcher in that backfield and that's just a fact. I can't imagine he isn't involved on a handful of screens and check downs each week.
Sure, he might be due for a a little regression here. I don't expect he finishes as RB15 again, but you can't say he doesn't have the potential. Grabbing him as my RB4 this late was an easy decision.
12th round: Tyrod Taylor
There is obviously a lot of uncertainty surrounding Deshaun Watson. I personally don’t expect him to play this season, certainly not as a Houston Texan. So technically, Tyrod is the Texans starting QB. It’s not the most promising gig but it’s something.
Taylor might not jump off the page but he hardly ever turns the ball over and provides a decent rushing floor. This provides me with good QB depth, and if you ever played in a Superflex league you’d know how fast them starting QBs dry up.
13th round: Gerald Everett
My philosophy with TE is either I’m one of the first to pick one, or I’m last. In this case I was dead last. FULL DISCLAIMER: Gerald Everett wasn’t really on my radar before this draft begun. Luckily it lasted four days (slow draft, 12 hours per pick) so I had time to do some research. Turns out there’s a few reasons to like Everett.
To be clear, I'm not fully expecting Everett to be a weekly starter for me, and I'm certainly not endorising him as a top-ten pick at his position. If he cracks the top-ten for TEs, great. (It wouldn't take much honestly) If not, no harm done. Every year I tend to try and stack important positions and worry about TE later. It's an effective strategy more often than not.
14th round: 49ers D/ST
I don’t know about you, but I personally can’t name one team that was devastated by injuries last season more than the 49ers. Their defense took most of the hit, and it showed in the stat sheets. (16th most total points allowed)
Now fully healthy, just one season removed from being a SuperBowl caliber unit and the third-highest scoring fantasy defense, I’ll absolutely take a shot on them. If it doesn’t pay off, what did I lose? A 14th round pick? I think I’ll be okay.
Tim Brosnan, Fantasy Sports Analyst/Freelance Journalist
Tim Brosnan is a college-educated sports journalist from the New Haven, Connecticut area.
The Playbook by CommishFFP
Brosnan earned his Bachelor's Degree from Castleton University where he majored in Media & Communication, with a focus in Journalism.
During his tenure as the sports editor of the Castleton Spartan newspaper, Brosnan created the segment 'Tim's Fantasy Tips'. It began as a simple weekly start/sit column, but since then, the idea has grown into so much more.
Brosnan has taken his experience/passion for pro football/fantasy sports and combined it with his journalistic know-how in order to bring you a completely original, well-informed, multi-layered fantasy football advice experience.
We hope you enjoy.